Five Commodity Dividend Stocks Investors Should Stay Away From (RIO, BHP, BTU, CNX, CHK)
Ryan Fuhrmann:Â In his bookÂ Ronâ€™s Road to Wealth, investor Ron Muhlenkamp explains that inflation increases the prices that consumers pay for goods and services. However, a more accurate description, especially for those with savings in the bank, is that inflation means the value of yourÂ money is shrinking.
In todayâ€™s environment, inflation is low butÂ could really take off. Central banks across the world are increasing the money supply in hopes of kick-starting economic growth until a sustainable rally that allows the globe to move past the financial crisis once and for all. Thisincreased money supplyÂ could lead to inflation if and once economic growth perks up.
Many investors use dividends to keep pace with inflation, as consistent cash payouts from bellwether firms tend to rise as general prices do the same. But not all dividend stocks have a place in yourÂ portfolioÂ Below, we outline fiveÂ dividend-paying commodity stocks that you may want to avoid [for more commodity dividend news subscribe to ourÂ free newsletter].
- Rio Tinto (NYSE:RIO):Â Rio Tinto is a global miner that extracts important commodities includingaluminum,Â copper, diamonds,Â goldÂ and iron ore. With major mining operations in Australia, it has been a big beneficiary of Chinaâ€™s rapid growth and industrialization in recent years. Lately though, growth has been slowing in China, and this could dent Rio Tintoâ€™s near-term prospects.
- BHP Billiton (NYSE:BHP):Â BHP Billitonâ€™s investment thesis closely mirrors that of rival Rio Tinto. It is officially based in Australia and has benefitted from the regionâ€™s rapid growth (China in particular) in recent years. BHPâ€™s dividend yield is a bit higher at 3.4%, but is likely not going to be increased by the company as its underlying markets are currently experiencing decelerating growth trends [see alsoÂ The Ten Commandments of Commodity Investing].
- Peabody Energy (NYSE:BTU):Â Returning closer to home, Peabody is one of the nationâ€™s largest miners of coal. It owns mines in the United States and Australia, the last of which is subject to the pressures being seen at Rio Tinto and BHP. Its United States situation is even more tenuous as coal isÂ having a tough timeÂ competing with record-low natural gas prices. At the low gas prices, utility clients are finding it more compelling to generate electricity using natural gas, not coal. This makes it unlikely that Peabody will be able to increase its modest dividend yield of 1.5% anytime soon.
- CONSOL Energy (NYSE:CNX):Â CONSOL Energy is in a better position than Peabody in that it produces coal andÂ natural gas. Coalâ€™s struggles are documented above, but the low natural gas prices actually benefit consumers over producers. Low prices cut into profit margins because production costs are generally fixed. The only thing producers can do in periods of low prices is to produce less of a commodity. Its 1.7% dividend yield is only modest, and not likely to increase any time soon [see alsoÂ 25 Ways To Invest In Natural Gas].
- Chesapeake Energy Corporation (NYSE:CHK):Â Chesapeake Energy is a pure play natural gas producer and in the process of ramping down production to meet its lower cash flow production. It appears to have scrambled sufficiently to raise billions in funds, but has suffered some reputational loss seeing as it also had some funding issues back during theÂ financial crisis. Its underlying assets are arguably worth well more than the current stock price and the dividend yield is decent at 1.9%, but the stock is a risky one.
Written ByÂ Ryan FuhrmannÂ From CommodityHQÂ Â Disclosure: No Positions.
CommodityHQ offersÂ educationalÂ content, analysis, and commentary on globalÂ commodityÂ markets. Whether youâ€™re looking to speculate on a short-term jump in crude or establish a long-term allocation toÂ natural resources, CommodityHQ has the information you need.