Google and Apple are Creating Nightmares for These Stocks
Even as consumer income has barely kept up with inflation in recent years, cable bills soar ever higher. Here in upstate New York, Time Warner gets $130 from me every month so I can get high-speed Internet access, a DVR and far more channels than I ever bother to watch. I have long vowed to cut the cord, as soon as it was practical.
That day is finally here. Technologies are rolling out that will expand consumer's choices. And most ominously for those big cable companies, many of those choices will be either free or far cheaper.
Breaking it down
As I look over my monthly cable bill, a few things stand out. I like to record shows and watch them when it's convenient. Time Warner charges me $13 a month for the service. Trouble is, to get a DVR, I also need to get digital cable ($7) and the “Standard Service” ($43), which is largely comprised of obscure channels that I'll never watch. So my DVR really costs $63 a month. Yet on a recent trip to Best Buy (NYSE: BBY), I found $250 DVD players with massive hard drives built in, capable of recording dozens of hours of programming. I could ditch my DVR and the unwatched hundred extra channels, downgrade to the basic $14 cable TV programming, and recoup my investment in just four months. After that, it's just pure savings.
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That DVD-with-a-hard-drive is just an interim step. Soon enough, Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL), Google (Nasdaq: GOOG), Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN) and Sony (NYSE: SNE) will deliver my favorite TV shows to me through a web connection, bypassing the need for a cable box. They'll start slow, but eventually create truly viable alternatives. For example, Apple just announced plans to show certain TV shows for just $0.99 an episode. That's still pricey, but look for costs to come down and the number of shows available to expand over time. As an even cheaper alternative, you can wait until after a season has ended and get the DVDs from Netflix (Nasdaq: NFLX) for a nominal cost (I'm just now watching the last season of Dexter as the new season ramps up next month on Showtime).
As for Google, consumers need to simply wait for the next generation of Internet-accessible TV sets to start hitting showrooms this fall and into 2011 (another reason that I'm a fan of Best Buy). [Read why it's also "George Soros's Favorite Retail Stock"]